March 6, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 12

Rankings:

1 Virginia 17 Wichita St 33 Florida St 51 Vermont
2 Villanova 18 Ohio St 34 Missouri 52 Murray St
3 Xavier 19 Kentucky 35 NC State 53 Buffalo
4 Duke 20 TCU 36 Rh Island 54 S Dakota St
5 Kansas 21 Arizona 37 Kansas St 55 UNC Greensboro
6 Purdue 22 Houston 38 Arizona St 56 Northeastern
7 UNC 23 Florida 39 Baylor 57 Bucknell
8 Michigan St 24 Texas A&M 40 Texas 58 N Kentucky
9 Cincinnati 25 Miami 41 Oklahoma St 59 Montana
10 Tennessee 26 Creighton 42 Louisville 60 Rider
11 Auburn 27 Va Tech 43 St. Mary’s 61 UCSB
12 Michigan 28 Oklahoma 44 UCLA 62 Penn
13 Clemson 29 Nevada 45 USC 63 SF Austin
14 Gonzaga 30 Seton Hall 46 St. Bona 64 Lipscomb
15 Texas Tech 31 Arkansas 47 Mid Tenn St 65 Wagner
16 W Virginia 32 Butler 48 Loyola-Chi 66 Radford
49 Louisiana 67 Hampton
50 New Mex St 68 Texas So

Notes:

  1. Regarding St. Bonaventure
    1. Wins against Rh Island, Buffalo, and Syracuse are nice, but not great
    2. 17 wins are against 120 RPI or worse. That’s not great. However, it’s better than St. Mary’s 24.
    3. 3 losses are against 130 RPI or worse. That’s not great. That does compare to Alabama, Providence, and Syracuse, but none of which I have in the field.
    4. RPI, KPI, SOR avg is very good: 29. Better than all the bubble teams.
    5. BPI, KenPom, Sagarin avg is terrible: 57.3. Worse than all the bubble teams except Providence.
    6. This will be tough call for committee. Do they get in on strength of record and it’s decent wins or do they get left out on weakness of predictive ratings and bad losses? I pick the former over what Alabama, Syracuse, Providence, Marquette, and Notre Dame have to offer, but I wouldn’t feel too secure if I were a Bonnies fan.

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