February 26, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 9

Rankings:

1 Virginia 17 Gonzaga 33 Louisville 51 Vermont
2 Villanova 18 Kentucky 34 Va Tech 52 Murray St
3 Xavier 19 Michigan 35 Alabama 53 Buffalo
4 Michigan St 20 Arizona 36 USC 54 S Dakota St
5 Kansas 21 TCU 37 Florida St 55 UNC Greensboro
6 UNC 22 Rh Island 38 NC State 56 Northeastern
7 Duke 23 Creighton 39 Arizona St 57 Bucknell
8 Auburn 24 Oklahoma 40 Kansas St 58 N Kentucky
9 Purdue 25 Texas A&M 41 Mid Tenn St 59 Montana
10 Tennessee 26 Arkansas 42 St. Mary’s 60 Rider
11 Cincinnati 27 Houston 43 Texas 61 UCSB
12 Texas Tech 28 Nevada 44 Baylor 62 Penn
13 Ohio St 29 Butler 45 Missouri 63 SF Austin
14 W Virginia 30 Seton Hall 46 St. Bona 64 FGC
15 Clemson 31 Miami 47 Miss St 65 Wagner
16 Wichita St 32 Florida 48 Loyola-Chi 66 UNC Asheville
49 Louisiana 67 Hampton
50 New Mex St 68 Texas So

Notes:

  1. Bids by conference: ACC (9), SEC (9), Big 12 (8), Big East (5), Big 10 (4), Pac 12 (3), AAC (3), A10 (2), WCC (2)
  2. Possible bid stealing leagues:
    1. Unlikely in ACC, SEC, Big 12, and Big 10 because it would take quite a run
    2. Big 10: would have to be Nebraska or Penn St making still very unlikely run
    3. Pac 12: could see Oregon, UCLA, or Washington making a run especially with goings-on at Arizona
    4. AAC: SMU, Tulsa, or Temple might make a run, but doubtful
    5. A10: Davidson or VCU could make a run. St. Bona might count as bid stealer even though they’re right there on bubble
    6. WCC: BYU only threat to steal here
    7. CUSA: Will Mid Tenn St make it in if it loses? If so, W. Kentucky and Old Dominion are major threats to steal a bid
    8. MoVal: Will Loyola make it in if it loses? If so, any team in this balanced league could steal a bid.
    9. Sun Belt: Cajuns very unlikely to be at large, but have small chance so Georgia State and Georgia Southern are threats to steal.
    10. It’s madness, so who knows?
  3. Bubble Watch: Crazy that there are projected 8 and 9 seeds right now on the bubble, but alas. So little difference between seeds 7-12.
    1. I think my 8 seeds and above are safe
    2. Louisville: Virginia, @NCSt — two tier1 opps
    3. Va Tech: Duke, @Miami — two tier 1 opps, either win and in, may be any way
      1. I think they’re very safe now.
    4. Alabama: Fla, @Texas A&M — either win and in, may be any way
      1. Embarrassing home loss increases urgency against Aggies
    5. USC: UCLA — I have them higher than most, but need this one or out
    6. Florida St: @Clemson, BC — can’t lose to BC, but either will get them in
    7. NC State: @GaTech, Louis — two wins and in, either L and it’s likely first four
    8. Arizona St: Cal, Stanford — need both to feel good
    9. Kansas St: @TCU, Baylor — either win and in, will be nail biter if 3 Ls to end
      1. Need to win against Baylor or at least 1st game in tourney which may be TT or WVa
    10. Mid Tenn St: W. Kentucky, Marshall — big game against hilltoppers
    11. St. Mary’s: Tourney — could use one more win against Zaga
    12. Texas: @KU, WestVa — two tier1 opps, either W should get them in
      1. Sweating it. Need win against ‘eers badly.
    13. Baylor: Okla, @KansasSt — get both to feel good, one should do it though
      1. 5 point jump in RPI helps tremendously. May need more.
    14. Missouri: @Vandy, Ark — need both to feel good, one should do it though
      1. Probably safe, but home win against rival to feel good
    15. St. Bona: Davidson, @StL — must get to final of A10 to feel any kind of good
      1. Whew! Loss would’ve downed bonnies. Hope still there.
    16. Miss St: Tenn, @LSU — two wins boosts resume significantly
      1. Big lost opportunity. May have sunk their chances.
    17. Marquette: @Gtown, Creighton — need both
      1. Still need win against Creighton
    18. Providence: @Xavier, StJohns — W at X, otherwise not lookin good
    19. Notre Dame: Pitt, @Virginia — need both, but win at V might do it
    20. Syracuse: @BC, Clemson — need both
    21. Boise St: @SDSU, Wyoming — I don’t think they can get in without auto
    22. Penn St: Tourney — Likely need both Ohio St and Purdue to get in
    23. Nebraska: Tourney — Likely need both Michigan and Mich St to get in
    24. UCLA: @USC — not sure at large is possible
    25. Utah: Colo — not sure at large is possible
    26. Oregon: @WashSt, @Wash — not sure at large is possible
    27. Georgia: TexasA&M, @Tenn — two great opps, but need both to sniff it
    28. LSU: @SoCar, MissSt — not great opportunity here, not happening
    29. Washington: OreSt, Ore — don’t think it’s happening

February 19, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 8

Rankings:

1 Virginia 17 Gonzaga 33 Missouri 51 Vermont
2 Villanova 18 Texas A&M 34 Virginia Tech 52 Buffalo
3 Xavier 19 Wichita St 35 Alabama 53 E Tenn St
4 UNC 20 Kentucky 36 Nevada 54 Murray St
5 Kansas 21 Arkansas 37 Texas 55 South Dakota
6 Duke 22 Oklahoma 38 Miami 56 Northeastern
7 Michigan St 23 Creighton 39 St. Mary’s 57 Montana
8 Auburn 24 Rh Island 40 NC State 58 N Kentucky
9 Purdue 25 Michigan 41 Seton Hall 59 Bucknell
10 Texas Tech 26 TCU 42 Kansas St 60 Rider
11 Clemson 27 Arizona St 43 Louisville 61 UCSB
12 Cincinnati 28 Houston 44 Syracuse 62 Penn
13 Tennessee 29 Baylor 45 UCLA 63 SF Austin
14 W Virginia 30 Florida 46 Providence 64 Winthrop
15 Ohio St 31 Florida St 47 Mid Tenn St 65 FGC
16 Arizona 32 Butler 48 Loyola-Chi 66 Wagner
49 Louisiana 67 Texas So
50 New Mex St 68 UNC A&T

Notes:

  1. Bubble Teams this week:
    1. Texas: @KSt, OklaSt — Need to win at home, bonus if win on road
    2. NC State: BC, FlaSt — need both to feel good
    3. Seton Hall: @Prov, @StJohns — need split, both and can breathe easy
    4. Kansas St: Tex, @Okla — need to split
    5. Louisville: @Duke, @VaTech — Great opportunity this week, split doable
    6. Syracuse: UNC. @Duke — Great opportunity this week, but gonna be tough
    7. UCLA: @Utah, @Colo — need both
    8. Providence: Seton, @Gtown — need both
    9. Notre Dame: Miami, @Wake — Need both
    10. St. Bona: Duquesne, VCU — need both and may still not be enough
    11. Marquette: StJohns, Depaul — need both
    12. USC: @Colo, @Utah — need both
    13. LSU: Vandy, @Georgia — need both
    14. Georgia: @SoCar, LSU — need both
    15. Nebraska: Indiana, Penn St — need both, barely hanging on

February 12, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 7

Rankings:

1 Virginia 17 Texas A&M 33 Alabama 51 E Tenn St
2 Villanova 18 W Virginia 34 Virginia Tech 52 N Kentucky
3 Xavier 19 Gonzaga 35 Wichita St 53 New Mex St
4 Purdue 20 Seton Hall 36 Nevada 54 Murray St
5 Auburn 21 Rhode Island 37 Missouri 55 South Dakota
6 Kansas 22 Kentucky 38 Arkansas 56 Buffalo
7 Duke 23 St. Mary’s 39 Kansas St 57 Northeastern
8 Cincinnati 24 Arizona St 40 Houston 58 Bucknell
9 Clemson 25 TCU 41 NC State 59 Iona
10 Texas Tech 26 Butler 42 Louisville 60 Penn
11 Michigan St 27 Creighton 43 UCLA 61 Montana
12 UNC 28 Miami 44 Baylor 62 FGC
13 Tennessee 29 Michigan 45 Syracuse 63 SF Austin
14 Ohio State 30 Florida 46 Washington 64 Winthrop
15 Arizona 31 Florida St 47 Mid Tenn St 65 UCSB
16 Oklahoma 32 Texas 48 Louisiana 66 Wagner
49 Vermont 67 Texas So
50 Loyola-Chi 68 Hampton

Notes:

  1. Bubble Watch this week:
    1. Kansas St: @OklaSt, Iowa St; @pokes is lose-able, but better to not
    2. Houston: Cinci, @Temple; both would be near-clinching
    3. NC State: @Cuse, @WF; can’t lose both
    4. Louisville: UNC; need quad1 wins like this one
    5. UCLA: Oregon St, Oregon; need to win both
    6. Baylor: @Tex, TexTech; split would be great for bears
    7. Syracuse: NCSt, @Miami; need both wins to feel good
    8. Washington: Utah, Colorado; need to win both
    9. USC; Oregon, Oregon St; need to win both
    10. Boise St: Nevada, AirForce; need to win both
    11. St. Bona; @LaSalle; RhIsl; need to win both
    12. Miss St; @Vandy, OleMiss; need to win both
    13. Nebraska: Maryland, @Illini; need both
    14. Maryland: @Neb, Rutgers; need both
    15. SMU: Memphis, @UCF; need both
    16. Marquette: @Creighton; need it

February 5, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 6

Rankings:

1 Virginia 17 Seton Hall 33 Texas A&M 51 E Tenn St
2 Villanova 18 Michigan 34 Florida 52 N Kentucky
3 Purdue 19 Miami 35 Washington 53 New Mex St
4 Xavier 20 Kentucky 36 Arizona St 54 Murray St
5 Auburn 21 Creighton 37 Providence 55 South Dakota
6 Clemson 22 St. Mary’s 38 Houston 56 Buffalo
7 Duke 23 W Virginia 39 NC State 57 Towson
8 Michigan St 24 Butler 40 Arkansas 58 Bucknell
9 Texas Tech 25 Texas 41 Virginia Tech 59 Iona
10 Cincinnati 26 Gonzaga 42 Missouri 60 Princeton
11 Kansas 27 Arizona 43 Alabama 61 Montana
12 Tennessee 28 Florida St 44 Kansas St 62 FGC
13 Oklahoma 29 TCU 45 UCLA 63 SF Austin
14 UNC 30 Nevada 46 Marquette 64 Liberty
15 Ohio State 31 Wichita St 47 Mid Tenn St 65 UCSB
16 Rhode Isl 32 Louisville 48 Louisiana 66 Wagner
49 Vermont 67 Texas So
50 Loyola-Chi 68 NC Central

Notes:

  1. In: UCLA, Missouri, Washington, Liberty, Montana
  2. Out: USC, Nebraska, Syracuse, Wagner, Portland St
  3. Rising: Washington, Tennessee, Miami, Butler, Texas, Texas A&M, Nevada, Providence, Missouri
  4. Falling: Kansas, W. Virginia, Arizona, Louisville, Florida, Arkansas, Kansas St
  5. Week for bubble teams:
    1. Providence: Gtown, DePaul; need to win both
    2. Houston: SMU, Tulane: need to win both, SMU would be decent win
    3. NC State: @VaTech, UNC; split would be great for resume, 2Ls not end of world
    4. Arkansas: SoCar, Vandy; really need to win both at home
    5. Va Tech: NCSt, @Virginia; given unlikely W on road, need to win at home
    6. Missouri: @Miss, MissSt; need to win both
    7. Alabama: @MissSt, Tenn, split would be good, 2 Ws a boon
    8. Kansas St: @Texas, TexTech; split would be great, really need a road win
    9. UCLA: @Arizona, @AzSt; need to split here to stay in it
    10. Marquette: @SetonHall, @St. Johns; really need both wins to stem the tide
    11. USC: @AzSt; @Arizona; need to split here to stay in it
    12. Nebraska: @Minn, Rutgers; need to win both, neither will boost resume much
    13. Syracuse: @Louis, Wake; need to win at home, W on road would be big
    14. Boise St: @NewMex; @UtahSt; need to win both, Nevada at home is only remaining resume booster
    15. Maryland: @PennSt; NW; need to win both, neither will boost resume much
    16. SMU: @Houston, Cincy; split would be good, W in both would get them in
    17. Georgia: @Vandy, Auburn; need to win both to stay in bubble talk
    18. Miss St: Ala, @Mizzou; need to win both to stay in bubble talk