January 16, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 3

Rankings:

1 Villanova 17 Michigan St 33 Marquette 51 Louisiana
2 Virginia 18 Kentucky 34 LSU 52 Vermont
3 Oklahoma 19 Ohio St 35 Florida St 53 Murray St
4 Purdue 20 Arizona St 36 Texas A&M 54 Missouri St
5 Duke 21 Cincinnati 37 Houston 55 South Dakota
6 Texas Tech 22 Gonzaga 38 Texas 56 Towson
7 Kansas 23 TCU 39 Maryland 57 Iona
8 W. Virginia 24 Florida 40 Georgia 58 Bucknell
9 UNC 25 Creighton 41 Syracuse 59 Princeton
10 Clemson 26 Arizona 42 St. Mary’s 60 Buffalo
11 Auburn 27 Rhode Island 43 Notre Dame 61 SF Austin
12 Xavier 28 Nevada 44 Miss St 62 FGC
13 Wichita St 29 Arkansas 45 NC State 63 Portland St
14 Seton Hall 30 Louisville 46 Alabama 64 Liberty
15 Tennessee 31 Miami 47 Mid Tenn St 65 UCSB
16 Michigan 32 Butler 48 New Mex St 66 Texas So
49 N Kentucky 67 St Francis PA
50 E Tenn St 68 NC Central

Notes:

  1. In: Alabama, NC State, St. Mary’s, LSU, Louisville
  2. Out: Missouri, Minnesota, Washington, St. Bona, UCLA
  3. Bubble: Boise St, Baylor, Boston College, Minnesota, Missouri, St. Bona, UCLA
  4. Differences with Bracketmatrix.com
    1. Missouri has no top 50 wins
    2. UCLA is right there with Alabama and NC State
    3. Boise St has no top 50 wins
    4. Western Kentucky has too many bad losses
  5. Games of note this week:
    1. Louisville at Notre Dame
    2. Georgia at LSU
    3. Vanderbilt at Miss St
    4. Oklahoma at Kansas St
    5. Kentucky at South Carolina
    6. SMU at Wich St
    7. Auburn at Alabama
    8. Arkansas at Florida
    9. Texas Tech at Texas
    10. Seton Hall at Creighton
    11. Tennessee at Missouri
    12. Ohio St at Northwestern
    13. Minnesota at Maryland
    14. Michigan at Nebraska
    15. Indiana at Michigan St

January 8, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 2

Rankings:

1 Villanova 17 Kentucky 33 Maryland 51 Louisiana
2 W Virginia 18 Wichita St 34 Notre Dame 52 Vermont
3 Virginia 19 Florida St 35 Syracuse 53 E Tenn St
4 Oklahoma 20 Gonzaga 36 Ohio St 54 Murray St
5 Texas Tech 21 Creighton 37 Georgia 55 Iona
6 Duke 22 Florida 38 Texas 56 Towson
7 Arizona St 23 Tennessee 39 Miss St 57 New Mex St
8 Xavier 24 Arkansas 40 UCLA 58 Portland St
9 Clemson 25 Miami 41 Rhode Island 59 Liberty
10 Purdue 26 Nevada 42 St. Bona 60 Bucknell
11 Seton Hall 27 Butler 43 Marquette 61 Penn
12 Auburn 28 Arizona 44 Missouri 62 Lipscomb
13 Michigan St 29 Cincinnati 45 Minnesota 63 Buffalo
14 UNC 30 Texas A&M 46 Washington 64 SF Austin
15 Kansas 31 Michigan 47 Mid Ten St 65 UCSB
16 TCU 32 Houston 48 South Dakota 66 Texas So
49 N Kentucky 67 St Francis PA
50 Missouri St 68 NC Central

Notes:

  1. In: Washington, Ohio St
  2. Out: Utah, Boise St
  3. Last weekend’s big games:
    1. Houston at Wich St — Houston slipping from at-large…
    2. Maryland at Mich St
    3. Arizona at Utah –Utah now out
    4. N. Iowa at Missouri St — Bears up
    5. UNC at Virginia — that defense
    6. Florida at Missouri — oof, Tigers
    7. Nebraska at Purdue — no dice for ‘skers
    8. Notre Dame at Syracuse –big win without Bonzi
    9. Wake Forest at Boston College — big for eagles
    10. Arkansas at Auburn — SEC goes through Auburn?
    11. Oklahoma at West Virginia — Looks like Mountaineers might
    12. Kansas at TCU — not frogs’ time yet
    13. Missouri St at Illinois St — Bears down
    14. Mich St at Ohio St — Big score for Bucky
    15. SMU at Cinci — Stangs on outside looking in
    16. Arizona St at Utah — Utah now out
  4. This week’s big games:
    1. Texas Tech at Okla — Affirms my seeding of both teams
    2. Texas A&M at Kentucky — Aggies reeling
    3. South Carolina at Alabama — Bama hanging on, Gamecocks likely done
    4. Butler at Creighton — Jays rollin
    5. Purdue at Michigan — Purdue has a shot at a #1 seed
    6. Seton Hall at Marquette — Eagles dust the Pirates
    7. Virginia Tech at Wake Forest — Hokies arrow up
    8. Mississippi St at Florida — Bulldogs could be in trouble
    9. Xavier at Villanova — Nova looks like lock for #1 seed
    10. Oklahoma St at Kansas St — Pokes likely out; Jury still out on ‘cats
    11. TCU at Texas — What a game! Longhorns needed that one
    12. Louisville at Florida St — Big win for Cards. First top 100 victory.
    13. Georgia at Missouri — Nice win for Tigers
    14. Oregon at Arizona St — Sun devils falling back to earth. Ducks making a run?
    15. Clemson at NC State — Gives wolfpack some life, but still unlikely.
    16. Maryland at Ohio St — Buckeye stock rising. Can they do it on the road?
    17. Tulsa at Houston — Cougars needed that in big way
    18. Utah at UCLA — Big bubble win for Bruins.
    19. Marquette vs. Butler — I’m confident both will get in
    20. Nebraska at Penn St  — Might have been an elimination game for huskers
  5. Big games this weekend:
    1. Marquette vs. Butler
    2. Kansas St. at Kansas
    3. Michigan at Michigan St
    4. Purdue at Minnesota
    5. South Carolina at Georgia
    6. TCU at Oklahoma
    7. Syracuse at Florida St
    8. Creighton at Xavier
    9. West Virginia at Texas Tech
    10. Auburn at Miss St
    11. Va Tech at Lousiville
    12. Texas at Oklahoma St
    13. UNC at Notre Dame
    14. Texas A&M at Tennessee
    15. Missouri at Arkansas
    16. Alabama at LSU
    17. Colorado at UCLA
    18. NC State at Virginia
    19. Utah at USC

January 4, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 1

Rankings:

1 Duke 17 Kentucky 33 Boise St 51 Louisiana
2 Arizona St 18 Butler 34 Florida 52 Vermont
3 Villanova 19 Wichita St 35 Cincinnati 53 E Tenn St
4 Oklahoma 20 Texas A&M 36 UCLA 54 Belmont
5 Xavier 21 Gonzaga 37 Rhode Island 55 Iona
6 Virginia 22 Arizona 38 Maryland 56 Towson
7 W. Virginia 23 Kansas 39 Syracuse 57 New Mex St
8 TCU 24 Nevada 40 Georgia 58 Portland St
9 Texas Tech 25 Tennessee 41 St. Bona 59 Liberty
10 Michigan St 26 Texas 42 Marquette 60 Bucknell
11 Purdue 27 Arkansas 43 Missouri 61 Penn
12 UNC 28 Creighton 44 Minnesota 62 Lipscomb
13 Auburn 29 Mississippi St 45 Utah 63 Buffalo
14 Seton Hall 30 Miami 46 Notre Dame 64 SF Austin
15 Clemson 31 Michigan 47 Mid Ten St 65 UCSB
16 Florida St 32 Houston 48 South Dakota 66 Texas So
49 N Kentucky 67 Wagner
50 Missouri St 68 NC Central

Notes:

  1. Reminder: I do my bracket as if season ended today and committee were selecting the teams. I expect a lot of changes as more games are played.
  2. SEC has nine teams right now. I expect that to go down.
  3. Bubble teams: Washington, Ohio St, BYU, St. Mary’s, SMU, Baylor, Kansas St
  4. Teams with weak resumes who I expect will come back in to the picture: Oregon, Virginia Tech, Northwestern, Penn St, USC, Alabama
  5. Teams with decent resumes who I expect will fall out of picture: Mississippi St, Georgia, Washington
  6. Games of note this weekend:
    1. Houston at Wich St (Big game for AAC)
    2. Maryland at Mich St (Would be great win for Terps and chance to improve SOR for Sparty)
    3. Arizona at Utah (Big data point for both)
    4. N. Iowa at Missouri St (Big for MVC, which looks like one bid league this year)
    5. UNC at Virginia (Game of the week)
    6. Florida at Missouri (Smells like bubble game data point)
    7. Nebraska at Purdue (Huskers need top 50 win and this would be big one)
    8. Notre Dame at Syracuse (Bubble game)
    9. Wake Forest at Boston College (Bubble game)
    10. Arkansas at Auburn (resume-builder)
    11. Oklahoma at West Virginia (Can either dethrone Kansas?)
    12. Kansas at TCU (Are Frogs for real? Is Kansas?)
    13. Missouri St at Illinois St (two big games in a row for bears)
    14. Mich St at Ohio St (Big opportunity for Bucky)
    15. SMU at Cinci (Big opportunity for Stangs)
    16. Arizona St at Utah (Big opportunity for Utes)