January 29, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 5

Rankings:

1 Virginia 17 Kentucky 33 Kansas St 51 E Tenn St
2 Villanova 18 Seton Hall 34 Arkansas 52 N Kentucky
3 Purdue 19 Rhode Island 35 Nevada 53 Loyola-Chi
4 Duke 20 Arizona 36 Arizona St 54 Murray St
5 Xavier 21 Michigan 37 Marquette 55 South Dakota
6 Auburn 22 Creighton 38 Houston 56 Buffalo
7 Kansas 23 Florida 39 Texas A&M 57 Towson
8 Michigan St 24 Louisville 40 NC State 58 Bucknell
9 Clemson 25 St. Mary’s 41 Virginia Tech 59 Iona
10 Oklahoma 26 Florida St 42 Nebraska 60 Princeton
11 Cincinnati 27 Miami 43 Syracuse 61 Portland St
12 Tennessee 28 Wichita St 44 Alabama 62 FGC
13 UNC 29 Gonzaga 45 Providence 63 SF Austin
14 Texas Tech 30 Texas 46 USC 64 Winthrop
15 Ohio St 31 Butler 47 Mid Tenn St 65 UCSB
16 W Virginia 32 TCU 48 Louisiana 66 Texas So
49 New Mex St 67 Wagner
50 Vermont 68 NC Central

Notes:

  1. In: Syracuse, Virginia Tech, NC State, Wagner
  2. Out: Georgia, Baylor, Missouri, St. Francis PA
  3. Rising: Michigan St, Kentucky, Rhode Island, Florida St, Kansas St, Arkansas
  4. Falling: UNC, Florida, TCU, Arizona St, Maryland
  5. Big Big 12 Games this week:
    1. Kansas at Kansas St
    2. Baylor at Oklahoma
    3. Texas at Texas Tech
    4. Texas Tech at TCU
    5. Oklahoma at Texas
    6. Kansas St at West Va
  6. Big Big Ten Games this week:
    1. Penn St at Michigan St
    2. Maryland at Purdue
  7. Big SEC games this week:
    1. Florida at Georgia
    2. Arkansas at Texas A&M
    3. Missouri at Alabama
    4. Miss St at South Carolina
    5. LSU at Tennessee
    6. Alabama at Florida
    7. Arkansas at LSU
    8. Georgia at Miss St
    9. Kentucky at Missouri
    10. South Carolina at Texas A&M
    11. Do or die week for South Carolina and Missouri
  8. Big ACC games this week:
    1. Notre Dame at Duke
    2. UNC at Clemson
    3. Va Tech at Boston College
    4. Louisville at Virginia
    5. Florida St at Louisville
    6. Notre Dame at NC State
    7. Virginia at Syracuse
    8. Miami at Va Tech
  9. Big Pac 12 games this week:
    1. Arizona St at Washington
    2. Arizona at Washington
    3. USC at UCLA
    4. Huskies need both
  10. Big Big East games this week:
    1. Butler at Marquette
    2. Providence at Seton Hall
    3. Creighton at Villanova
    4. Providence at Marquette
    5. Seton Hall at Villanova
  11. Others:
    1. Houston at Cincinnati
    2. Rhode Island at VCU

January 22, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 4

Rankings:

1 Villanova 17 Texas Tech 33 Texas 51 E Tenn St
2 Virginia 18 Michigan 34 Florida St 52 New Mex St
3 Purdue 19 Louisville 35 Texas A&M 53 Murray St
4 Duke 20 Seton Hall 36 Marquette 54 South Dakota
5 UNC 21 Arizona 37 Houston 55 Loyola-Chi
6 Xavier 22 Creighton 38 Kansas St 56 Buffalo
7 Kansas 23 Rhode Island 39 Maryland 57 Towson
8 W Virginia 24 Miami 40 Arkansas 58 Bucknell
9 Clemson 25 Wichita St 41 Georgia 59 Iona
10 Ohio St 26 St. Mary’s 42 Providence 60 Princeton
11 Auburn 27 TCU 43 Alabama 61 SF Austin
12 Oklahoma 28 Gonzaga 44 Nebraska 62 FGC
13 Cincinnati 29 Nevada 45 Baylor 63 Portland St
14 Tennessee 30 Arizona St 46 Missouri 64 Winthrop
15 Florida 31 Butler 47 Mid Tenn St 65 UCSB
16 Michigan St 32 Kentucky 48 Louisiana 66 Texas So
49 N Kentucky 67 St Francis PA
50 Vermont 68 NC Central

Notes:

  1. In: Kansas St, Baylor, Providence, Nebraska, Missouri, Winthrop, Loyola-Chi
  2. Out: NC State, Miss St, Notre Dame, Syracuse, LSU, Liberty, Missouri St
  3. Rising: UNC, Xavier, Florida, Louisville, Arizona, Rhode Island, St. Mary’s, Texas, Kansas St
  4. Falling: Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Seton Hall, Gonzaga, Kentucky, Arkansas
  5. WCC looks much more likely to get 2 bids as Gaels win in Spokane
  6. CUSA has several good teams, but still looks like likely one bid league
  7. You could probably say the same thing for the Mtn West
  8. I’d feel pretty good betting the champion will come from current top 5 teams.
  9. Bubble: Syracuse, Notre Dame, Boise St, Oklahoma St, Boston College, BYU, Nebraska, NC State, UCLA, USC, Washington, LSU, South Carolina
  10. Best chance to improve resume: Marquette, South Carolina
  11. Big games this week and weekend:
    1. UNC at Va Tech — probably puts them back in
    2. Maryland at Indiana — terps might be out now
    3. Iowa St at Texas — Texas looking solid
    4. Nebraska at Ohio St — missed opportunity for huskers
    5. West Virginia at TCU — frogs needed that. big12 is KU’s again.
    6. Kansas St at Baylor — K-St on great run
    7. Providence at Villanova — how much will losing Booth hurt?
    8. Arkansas at Georgia — hogs holding steady in 10 seed range
    9. Clemson at Virginia — what a beatdown, could this be the year for the final 4?
    10. Kansas at Oklahoma — Still not sure Kansas will lose the conference
    11. Oklahoma St at Texas Tech — pokes not an easy out
    12. Texas A&M at LSU — both needed it, tigers got it
    13. Miss St at Kentucky — Miss St in free fall
    14. Marquette at Xavier — Xavier in range of 1 seed, will need to topple nova
    15. South Carolina at Florida — big win for gamecocks, but more is needed
    16. Boston College at Syracuse — Cuse needed that
    17. Louisville at Miami — missed opportunity for Cards
    18. Auburn at Missouri — Missouri in free fall; both free fallers meet Saturday
    19. Michigan at Purdue — balanced boilermakers poised for deep run
    20. BYU at St. Mary’s — WCC looks like 2 bid league
    21. Oakland at N Kentucky — Auto bid probably coming from one of these two
    22. NC St at UNC — Pack back in view
    23. Texas Tech at South Carolina — missed opportunity for cocks
    24. Baylor at Florida — Gators look like SEC favorite
    25. Virginia at Duke — Cavs are a clear #1 seed and maybe #1 overall
    26. Georgia at Kansas St — Do or die for both and Cats got it done
    27. Oklahoma at Alabama — Bama needed that one
    28. Tennessee at Iowa St — Vols looking good
    29. Miami at Florida St — Both look solidly in
    30. Texas A&M at Kansas — Aggies reeling
    31. LSU at Auburn — Tigers rolling
    32. Oklahoma St at Arkansas — Arkansas still in it
    33. Kentucky at West Virginia — should we expect anything different wva?
    34. Virginia Tech at Notre Dame — Irish may not make it without bonzi
    35. Missouri at Miss St — dogs stopped the bleeding for now
    36. Villanova at Marquette — Nova survives
    37. Michigan St at Maryland — Sparty’s got problems on and off the court

January 16, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 3

Rankings:

1 Villanova 17 Michigan St 33 Marquette 51 Louisiana
2 Virginia 18 Kentucky 34 LSU 52 Vermont
3 Oklahoma 19 Ohio St 35 Florida St 53 Murray St
4 Purdue 20 Arizona St 36 Texas A&M 54 Missouri St
5 Duke 21 Cincinnati 37 Houston 55 South Dakota
6 Texas Tech 22 Gonzaga 38 Texas 56 Towson
7 Kansas 23 TCU 39 Maryland 57 Iona
8 W. Virginia 24 Florida 40 Georgia 58 Bucknell
9 UNC 25 Creighton 41 Syracuse 59 Princeton
10 Clemson 26 Arizona 42 St. Mary’s 60 Buffalo
11 Auburn 27 Rhode Island 43 Notre Dame 61 SF Austin
12 Xavier 28 Nevada 44 Miss St 62 FGC
13 Wichita St 29 Arkansas 45 NC State 63 Portland St
14 Seton Hall 30 Louisville 46 Alabama 64 Liberty
15 Tennessee 31 Miami 47 Mid Tenn St 65 UCSB
16 Michigan 32 Butler 48 New Mex St 66 Texas So
49 N Kentucky 67 St Francis PA
50 E Tenn St 68 NC Central

Notes:

  1. In: Alabama, NC State, St. Mary’s, LSU, Louisville
  2. Out: Missouri, Minnesota, Washington, St. Bona, UCLA
  3. Bubble: Boise St, Baylor, Boston College, Minnesota, Missouri, St. Bona, UCLA
  4. Differences with Bracketmatrix.com
    1. Missouri has no top 50 wins
    2. UCLA is right there with Alabama and NC State
    3. Boise St has no top 50 wins
    4. Western Kentucky has too many bad losses
  5. Games of note this week:
    1. Louisville at Notre Dame — Big win for Cards. Irish need to hang on.
    2. Georgia at LSU — Big win for Dogs. SEC picture remains cloudy.
    3. Vanderbilt at Miss St — Avoiding those upsets is big.
    4. Oklahoma at Kansas St — Cats need a few more of those to get in.
    5. Kentucky at South Carolina — Gamecocks still have a chance to get in.
    6. SMU at Wich St
    7. Auburn at Alabama
    8. Arkansas at Florida
    9. Texas Tech at Texas
    10. Seton Hall at Creighton
    11. Tennessee at Missouri
    12. Ohio St at Northwestern
    13. Minnesota at Maryland
    14. Michigan at Nebraska
    15. Indiana at Michigan St

January 8, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 2

Rankings:

1 Villanova 17 Kentucky 33 Maryland 51 Louisiana
2 W Virginia 18 Wichita St 34 Notre Dame 52 Vermont
3 Virginia 19 Florida St 35 Syracuse 53 E Tenn St
4 Oklahoma 20 Gonzaga 36 Ohio St 54 Murray St
5 Texas Tech 21 Creighton 37 Georgia 55 Iona
6 Duke 22 Florida 38 Texas 56 Towson
7 Arizona St 23 Tennessee 39 Miss St 57 New Mex St
8 Xavier 24 Arkansas 40 UCLA 58 Portland St
9 Clemson 25 Miami 41 Rhode Island 59 Liberty
10 Purdue 26 Nevada 42 St. Bona 60 Bucknell
11 Seton Hall 27 Butler 43 Marquette 61 Penn
12 Auburn 28 Arizona 44 Missouri 62 Lipscomb
13 Michigan St 29 Cincinnati 45 Minnesota 63 Buffalo
14 UNC 30 Texas A&M 46 Washington 64 SF Austin
15 Kansas 31 Michigan 47 Mid Ten St 65 UCSB
16 TCU 32 Houston 48 South Dakota 66 Texas So
49 N Kentucky 67 St Francis PA
50 Missouri St 68 NC Central

Notes:

  1. In: Washington, Ohio St
  2. Out: Utah, Boise St
  3. Last weekend’s big games:
    1. Houston at Wich St — Houston slipping from at-large…
    2. Maryland at Mich St
    3. Arizona at Utah –Utah now out
    4. N. Iowa at Missouri St — Bears up
    5. UNC at Virginia — that defense
    6. Florida at Missouri — oof, Tigers
    7. Nebraska at Purdue — no dice for ‘skers
    8. Notre Dame at Syracuse –big win without Bonzi
    9. Wake Forest at Boston College — big for eagles
    10. Arkansas at Auburn — SEC goes through Auburn?
    11. Oklahoma at West Virginia — Looks like Mountaineers might
    12. Kansas at TCU — not frogs’ time yet
    13. Missouri St at Illinois St — Bears down
    14. Mich St at Ohio St — Big score for Bucky
    15. SMU at Cinci — Stangs on outside looking in
    16. Arizona St at Utah — Utah now out
  4. This week’s big games:
    1. Texas Tech at Okla — Affirms my seeding of both teams
    2. Texas A&M at Kentucky — Aggies reeling
    3. South Carolina at Alabama — Bama hanging on, Gamecocks likely done
    4. Butler at Creighton — Jays rollin
    5. Purdue at Michigan — Purdue has a shot at a #1 seed
    6. Seton Hall at Marquette — Eagles dust the Pirates
    7. Virginia Tech at Wake Forest — Hokies arrow up
    8. Mississippi St at Florida — Bulldogs could be in trouble
    9. Xavier at Villanova — Nova looks like lock for #1 seed
    10. Oklahoma St at Kansas St — Pokes likely out; Jury still out on ‘cats
    11. TCU at Texas — What a game! Longhorns needed that one
    12. Louisville at Florida St — Big win for Cards. First top 100 victory.
    13. Georgia at Missouri — Nice win for Tigers
    14. Oregon at Arizona St — Sun devils falling back to earth. Ducks making a run?
    15. Clemson at NC State — Gives wolfpack some life, but still unlikely.
    16. Maryland at Ohio St — Buckeye stock rising. Can they do it on the road?
    17. Tulsa at Houston — Cougars needed that in big way
    18. Utah at UCLA — Big bubble win for Bruins.
    19. Marquette vs. Butler — I’m confident both will get in
    20. Nebraska at Penn St  — Might have been an elimination game for huskers
  5. Big games this weekend:
    1. Marquette vs. Butler
    2. Kansas St. at Kansas
    3. Michigan at Michigan St
    4. Purdue at Minnesota
    5. South Carolina at Georgia
    6. TCU at Oklahoma
    7. Syracuse at Florida St
    8. Creighton at Xavier
    9. West Virginia at Texas Tech
    10. Auburn at Miss St
    11. Va Tech at Lousiville
    12. Texas at Oklahoma St
    13. UNC at Notre Dame
    14. Texas A&M at Tennessee
    15. Missouri at Arkansas
    16. Alabama at LSU
    17. Colorado at UCLA
    18. NC State at Virginia
    19. Utah at USC

January 4, 2018

Seeds:

2018 Bracket 1

Rankings:

1 Duke 17 Kentucky 33 Boise St 51 Louisiana
2 Arizona St 18 Butler 34 Florida 52 Vermont
3 Villanova 19 Wichita St 35 Cincinnati 53 E Tenn St
4 Oklahoma 20 Texas A&M 36 UCLA 54 Belmont
5 Xavier 21 Gonzaga 37 Rhode Island 55 Iona
6 Virginia 22 Arizona 38 Maryland 56 Towson
7 W. Virginia 23 Kansas 39 Syracuse 57 New Mex St
8 TCU 24 Nevada 40 Georgia 58 Portland St
9 Texas Tech 25 Tennessee 41 St. Bona 59 Liberty
10 Michigan St 26 Texas 42 Marquette 60 Bucknell
11 Purdue 27 Arkansas 43 Missouri 61 Penn
12 UNC 28 Creighton 44 Minnesota 62 Lipscomb
13 Auburn 29 Mississippi St 45 Utah 63 Buffalo
14 Seton Hall 30 Miami 46 Notre Dame 64 SF Austin
15 Clemson 31 Michigan 47 Mid Ten St 65 UCSB
16 Florida St 32 Houston 48 South Dakota 66 Texas So
49 N Kentucky 67 Wagner
50 Missouri St 68 NC Central

Notes:

  1. Reminder: I do my bracket as if season ended today and committee were selecting the teams. I expect a lot of changes as more games are played.
  2. SEC has nine teams right now. I expect that to go down.
  3. Bubble teams: Washington, Ohio St, BYU, St. Mary’s, SMU, Baylor, Kansas St
  4. Teams with weak resumes who I expect will come back in to the picture: Oregon, Virginia Tech, Northwestern, Penn St, USC, Alabama
  5. Teams with decent resumes who I expect will fall out of picture: Mississippi St, Georgia, Washington
  6. Games of note this weekend:
    1. Houston at Wich St (Big game for AAC)
    2. Maryland at Mich St (Would be great win for Terps and chance to improve SOR for Sparty)
    3. Arizona at Utah (Big data point for both)
    4. N. Iowa at Missouri St (Big for MVC, which looks like one bid league this year)
    5. UNC at Virginia (Game of the week)
    6. Florida at Missouri (Smells like bubble game data point)
    7. Nebraska at Purdue (Huskers need top 50 win and this would be big one)
    8. Notre Dame at Syracuse (Bubble game)
    9. Wake Forest at Boston College (Bubble game)
    10. Arkansas at Auburn (resume-builder)
    11. Oklahoma at West Virginia (Can either dethrone Kansas?)
    12. Kansas at TCU (Are Frogs for real? Is Kansas?)
    13. Missouri St at Illinois St (two big games in a row for bears)
    14. Mich St at Ohio St (Big opportunity for Bucky)
    15. SMU at Cinci (Big opportunity for Stangs)
    16. Arizona St at Utah (Big opportunity for Utes)