|5||N Carolina||21||Purdue||37||Connecticut||55||Stony Brook|
|10||Oregon||26||S Carolina||42||George Wash||60||New Mex St|
|11||Michigan St||27||California||43||Tulsa||61||N. Florida|
|13||Duke||29||Oregon State||45||Monmouth||63||S F Austin|
|14||W Virginia||30||Syracuse||46||Wichita St||64||Winthrop|
|15||Utah||31||Alabama||47||San Diego St||65||Bucknell|
|16||Iowa State||32||Florida||48||St. Mary’s||66||Hampton|
Last four in: Cincinnati, VCU, George Wash, Tulsa
First four out: Butler, UCLA, St. Bona, Washington
Fell out: Florida State, LSU, Washington
Now in: St. Joseph’s, VCU, Tulsa
ACC: 8, Pac-12: 7, Big-12: 7, Big-10: 7, SEC: 5, Big East: 3, A-10: 4, AAC: 3
- Things are rounding into shape, but there remains a swath of teams I find exceedingly difficult to seed. The 7-11 seeds are difficult to place for various reasons, so it’ll be interesting to see how things shake out.
- I place big emphasis on RPI, top-50 wins, and bad losses. The worst RPI team I’ve seen make it into the tourney in recent years was USC several years ago at 67. That team had star power, but more importantly a difficult schedule and several top 50 wins. LSU isn’t getting in because of Ben Simmons. They’re not getting in because their resume stinks. Their RPI is 87. Teams on the bad RPI watch include Butler, Vanderbilt, Florida State, Washington, UCLA, Gonzaga, and LSU.
- High impact bubble games this week (not including weekend): Vanderbilt at Florida, Temple at Tulsa, Alabama at Kentucky, Arizona at Colorado, Washington at Oregon State, Florida State at Duke, Providence at Seton Hall, UCLA at California
- These reflect my prediction of the Selection Committee’s selections as if today were Selection Sunday, not a prediction of what will happen on the actual Selection Sunday.
- AQ-only conference champions are selected by standings then RPI.
- These do no reflect “building the bracket” adjustments. I will make those in my final bracket prediction only.