February 8, 2016

1 Oklahoma 17 Utah 33 VCU 51 Akron
2 Oregon 18 USC 34 Wichita St 52 UC Irvine
3 Villanova 19 Texas 35 Michigan 53 S. Dakota St
4 Iowa 20 Baylor 36 Kansas St 54 Ark-Little Rock
5 Kansas 21 Purdue 37 California 55 Stony Brook
6 Virginia 22 S Carolina 38 George Wash 56 Yale
7 Xavier 23 Notre Dame 39 Washington 57 UAB
8 Maryland 24 Florida 40 Indiana 58 Belmont
9 N Carolina 25 Duke 41 Seton Hall 59 UNC-Wilm
10 West Virginia 26 Colorado 42 Connecticut 60 New Mex St
11 Iowa State 27 Pittsburgh 43 Vanderbilt 61 N. Florida
12 Michigan St 28 Providence 44 Alabama 62 UNC-Asheville
13 Dayton 29 Syracuse 45 Temple 63 Montana
14 Miami 30 Florida State 46 Monmouth 64 Stephen F Austin
15 Texas A&M 31 Oregon State 47 San Diego St 65 Bucknell
16 Kentucky 32 Arizona 48 Gonzaga 66 Hampton
49 Valpo 67 Texas Southern
50 Chattanooga 68 Wagner

Last four in: Seton Hall, Connecticut, Vanderbilt, Alabama

First four out: Wisconsin, Texas Tech, Saint Joseph’s, UCLA

Fell out: Clemson, Texas Tech

Now in: Kansas State, George Washington

ACC: 8,  Pac-12: 8,  Big-12: 7,  Big-10: 6,  SEC: 6,  Big East: 4,  A-10: 3, AAC; 2

Analysis:

  1. Kansas State and George Washington both won huge games to play their way in.
  2. Clemson’s loss was horrendous. They continue to be the most baffling team still in the hunt.
  3. Oklahoma still has the best resume. The Big 12 has 6 teams in the top 25 and nearly 8 in the top 50 RPI (TT is 51) which is padding all their resumes nicely. I still think 7 is the max with 6 a possibility if Kansas State struggles down the stretch.
  4. High impact bubble games this week (not including weekend): Notre Dame at Clemson, Butler at Seton Hall, LSU at South Carolina, Texas A&M at Alabama, Saint Joseph’s at George Washington, Baylor at Kansas State, Iowa State at Texas Tech, Washington at Utah, UConn at Temple, Oregon State at Stanford, UCLA at Arizona

Notes:

  1. These reflect my prediction of the Selection Committee’s selections as if today were Selection Sunday, not a prediction of what will happen on the actual Selection Sunday.
  2. AQ-only conference champions are selected by standings then RPI.
  3. These do no reflect “building the bracket” adjustments. I will make those in my final bracket prediction only.

 

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